Tennis · Challenger Villena · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Damir Dzumhur · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Damir Dzumhur
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Damir Dzumhur
5-5 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Damir Dzumhur 1481 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1563
| Damir Dzumhur | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inaki Montes-De La Torre (rating 1481 vs 1563).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Damir Dzumhur | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.9 | 12.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hubert Hurkacz US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-22 | L |
| 06/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 15/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Setubal |
1-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 59% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.