Tennis · Challenger Villena · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Maxi Carrascosa Diaz vs Borna Gojo
Team pages: Maxi Carrascosa Diaz · Borna Gojo
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Borna Gojo
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
6-4 (W-L)
Borna Gojo
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz 1467 · Borna Gojo 1505
| Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maxi Carrascosa Diaz makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-8.8 | 12.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 10.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 77.7% |
| Break % | 39% | 31.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Pedro Petroski Rocha M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/09 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Toprak Avcibasi M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/08 | Enzo Helguera Casado M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Javier Munoz Fuster M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 22/06 | Carles Hernandez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Borna Gojo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Zdenek Kolar US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Felix Gill Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxi Carrascosa Diaz vs Borna Gojo?
Our model gives 76% to Borna Gojo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.