Tennis · Challenger Villena · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler
Team pages: Felix Balshaw · Joel Schwaerzler
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Balshaw
Joel Schwaerzler
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Balshaw
6-4 (W-L)
Joel Schwaerzler
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1556 · Joel Schwaerzler 1532
| Felix Balshaw | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Felix Balshaw | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-13.2 | 11.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Joel Schwaerzler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Max Basing Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Gustavo Heide US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler?
Our model gives 56% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.