Tennis · Challenger Villena · 04/10, 11:00
Prediction: Sergi Fita Juan vs Georgii Kravchenko
Team pages: Sergi Fita Juan · Georgii Kravchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergi Fita Juan
Georgii Kravchenko
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Fita Juan
1-9 (W-L)
Georgii Kravchenko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Fita Juan 1439 · Georgii Kravchenko 1525
| Sergi Fita Juan | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Georgii Kravchenko (rating 1439 vs 1525).
- Georgii Kravchenko is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sergi Fita Juan | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-11.5 | 12.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Fita Juan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | John Sperle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Carles Cordoba M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Santander |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Santander |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
Georgii Kravchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Melios Efstathiou Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 23/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Fita Juan vs Georgii Kravchenko?
Our model gives 75% to Georgii Kravchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.