Tennis · Challenger Villena · 04/10, 15:30
Prediction: Patrick Brady vs Mili Poljicak
Team pages: Patrick Brady · Mili Poljicak
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Brady
Mili Poljicak
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Brady
8-2 (W-L)
Mili Poljicak
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Brady 1557 · Mili Poljicak 1463
| Patrick Brady | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Brady (rating 1557 vs 1463).
- Patrick Brady is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Patrick Brady | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8 | 9.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 70.5% | 24.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Brady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Andreja Petrovic Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Max Basing Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Brady vs Mili Poljicak?
Our model gives 56% to Patrick Brady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.