Tennis · Challenger Villena · 04/10, 14:00
Prediction: Philip Henning vs Thijs Boogaard
Team pages: Philip Henning · Thijs Boogaard
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Henning
Thijs Boogaard
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Henning
8-2 (W-L)
Thijs Boogaard
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Henning 1543 · Thijs Boogaard 1484
| Philip Henning | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Philip Henning (rating 1543 vs 1484).
Statistics
| Philip Henning | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.5 | 10-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 41% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Diogo Coelho M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Thijs Boogaard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lucas Renard M25 Falun |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Love Nyqvist M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Sergey Petrov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zian Vanderstappen M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Henning vs Thijs Boogaard?
Our model gives 63% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.