Tennis · Challenger Villena · 04/10, 12:30

Prediction: Niels Visker vs Marko Topo

Team pages: Niels Visker · Marko Topo

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Niels Visker Marko Topo
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Niels Visker 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWL
Marko Topo 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niels Visker 1499 · Marko Topo 1555
Niels ViskerMarko Topo
Our model42%58%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marko Topo (rating 1499 vs 1555).
  • Note: Niels Visker makes many double faults (4.2/match).
  • Note: Marko Topo makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Niels ViskerMarko Topo
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.4-1
Games (G-P)11.9-11.111.4-10.2
Aces93
Double faults4.24.6
1st serve %79%71.4%
Break %37.8%46.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niels Visker

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Harold Mayot
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
28/09 Niels McDonald
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
27/09 Tom Paris
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/09 Daniel Siniakov
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
03/09 Pedro Vives Marcos
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 16-17 L
01/09 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 20-19 W
31/08 Szymon Kielan
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
30/08 Guilherme Valdoleiros
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
26/07 Manuel Mazza
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Marko Topo

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Petr Nesterov
Challenger Porto · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
20/09 Kristijan Juhas
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 14-11 W
19/09 Alexandre Aubriot
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 12-5 W
18/09 Stefan Popovic
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 12-5 W
18/09 Nikita Belozertsev
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 13-9 W
17/09 Caheer Warik
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 10-12 W
09/09 Vitaliy Sachko
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/09 Daniel Elahi Galan
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
24/08 Miguel Damas
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niels Visker vs Marko Topo?

Our model gives 57% to Marko Topo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.