Tennis · Challenger Villena · 04/10, 11:00
Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: Diego Dedura-Palomero · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Diego Dedura-Palomero
3-7 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1466 · Vadym Ursu 1421
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diego Dedura-Palomero (rating 1466 vs 1421).
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.8 | 10.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 29.4% | 62.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 10/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Joao Domingues Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 64% to Diego Dedura-Palomero, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.