Tennis · WTA Samsun · 04/10, 09:00
Prediction: Caroline Werner vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
Team pages: Caroline Werner · Zhibek Kulambayeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Caroline Werner
Zhibek Kulambayeva
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Caroline Werner
4-6 (W-L)
Zhibek Kulambayeva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caroline Werner 1460 · Zhibek Kulambayeva 1500
| Caroline Werner | Zhibek Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhibek Kulambayeva (rating 1460 vs 1500).
Statistics
| Caroline Werner | Zhibek Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.9 | 10.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caroline Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Eva Vedder W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Valentina Steiner WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Elena Micic W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Veronika Podrez W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriela Paun W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Zhibek Kulambayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Radka Zelnickova WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Giorgia Pedone W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Mariya Yemshanova W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Zongyu Li W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Elena Korokozidi W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Ying Zhang W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caroline Werner vs Zhibek Kulambayeva?
Our model gives 58% to Caroline Werner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.