Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 04/10, 07:00
Prediction: Egor Agafonov vs Maxim Zhukov
Team pages: Egor Agafonov · Maxim Zhukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Egor Agafonov
Maxim Zhukov
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Egor Agafonov
1-9 (W-L)
Maxim Zhukov
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Egor Agafonov
1–2
Maxim Zhukov
(3 last)
- 12 Mar0-2 6-12L
- 07 Sept0-2 5-10L
- 30 Aug2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Egor Agafonov 1389 · Maxim Zhukov 1523
| Egor Agafonov | Maxim Zhukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxim Zhukov (rating 1389 vs 1523).
- Maxim Zhukov is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Egor Agafonov 1–2 Maxim Zhukov (3).
- Note: Egor Agafonov makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Egor Agafonov | Maxim Zhukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.9 | 13.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Egor Agafonov 1 – 2 Maxim Zhukov (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Egor Agafonov 1–2 Maxim Zhukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 M15 Maanshan | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09/25 M15 Maanshan | 0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 30/08/25 M15 Maanshan | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Egor Agafonov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Baku |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kacper Knitter M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Dmitrii Burtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/03 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/03 | Karlis Ozolins M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Maxim Zhukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Thijmen Loof Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 29/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/03 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/03 | Linang Xiao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/03 | Karlis Ozolins M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 21/03 | Evgeny Philippov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Egor Agafonov vs Maxim Zhukov?
Our model gives 60% to Maxim Zhukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.