Tennis · UTR Pro Boca Raton · 05/10, 16:00

Prediction: Robert Watzka vs Roman Venger

Team pages: Robert Watzka · Roman Venger

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Robert Watzka Roman Venger
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Robert Watzka 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWLL
Roman Venger 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Robert Watzka 1443 · Roman Venger 1501
Robert WatzkaRoman Venger
Our model42%58%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roman Venger (rating 1443 vs 1501).

Statistics

Robert WatzkaRoman Venger
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 17% (6) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.61.1-1.2
Games (G-P)9.6-12.510.6-10.4
Aces1.10.5
Double faults2.42.6
1st serve %60.6%57%
Break %34.9%47.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Robert Watzka

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/05 Alex Marti Pujolras
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
21/05 Luis Garcia Paez
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
20/05 Iliyan Radulov
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/03 Michiel de Krom
M25 Badalona · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
03/03 Charles Chen
M15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
15/12 Miguel Semedo
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
14/12 Nuno Pinheiro
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
13/12 Nazim Makhlouf
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
1-2 7-16 L
11/12 Vasco Leote Prata
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/12 Yanais Laurent
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Roman Venger

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Jakub Kroslak
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
31/08 Christian Kuehne
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/05 Maciej Rajski
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/05 Liam Alvarez
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
15/05 Duncan McCall
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
14/05 Adam Bain
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 12-13 L
12/05 Evan Lee
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/11 Naara Shin
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 13-11 W
31/10 Maciej Rajski
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
31/10 William Zhang
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Robert Watzka vs Roman Venger?

Our model gives 54% to Roman Venger, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.