Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 02/10, 09:00
Prediction: Paul Jubb vs Amr Asrawy
Team pages: Paul Jubb · Amr Asrawy
Prediction summary
Winner
Paul Jubb
Amr Asrawy
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Paul Jubb
9-1 (W-L)
Amr Asrawy
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paul Jubb 1586 · Amr Asrawy 1486
| Paul Jubb | Amr Asrawy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Jubb (rating 1586 vs 1486).
- Paul Jubb is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Amr Asrawy makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Paul Jubb | Amr Asrawy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-6.5 | 10-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 26.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paul Jubb
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Zangar Nurlanuly M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/09 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Marwan Ehab M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Tomas Lanik M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Charles Bertimon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 17/09 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Sergey Petrov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Amr Asrawy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Dzmitry Dziubailau M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Chirag Duhan M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Luke Hooper M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/05 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paul Jubb vs Amr Asrawy?
Our model gives 76% to Paul Jubb, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.