Tennis · M15 Ann Arbor · 01/10, 16:00
Prediction: Naoto Tomizawa vs Matt Kuhar
Team pages: Naoto Tomizawa · Matt Kuhar
Prediction summary
Winner
Naoto Tomizawa
Matt Kuhar
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Naoto Tomizawa
6-4 (W-L)
Matt Kuhar
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoto Tomizawa 1580 · Matt Kuhar 1475
| Naoto Tomizawa | Matt Kuhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naoto Tomizawa (rating 1580 vs 1475).
- Naoto Tomizawa is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Matt Kuhar makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Naoto Tomizawa | Matt Kuhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-6.7 | 11.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 49% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoto Tomizawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Bjorn Swenson M15 Ann Arbor |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Min Jae Kim UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Nuutti Jokinen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Hien Q H Pham M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Matt Kuhar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Zsombor Velcz M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 31/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jesse Ruder-Hook M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoto Tomizawa vs Matt Kuhar?
Our model gives 52% to Naoto Tomizawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.