Tennis · M15 Ann Arbor · 01/10, 16:00
Prediction: Max Sheldon vs Olaf Pieczkowski
Team pages: Max Sheldon · Olaf Pieczkowski
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Sheldon
Olaf Pieczkowski
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Max Sheldon
6-4 (W-L)
Olaf Pieczkowski
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Sheldon 1556 · Olaf Pieczkowski 1476
| Max Sheldon | Olaf Pieczkowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Sheldon (rating 1556 vs 1476).
- Max Sheldon is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Max Sheldon | Olaf Pieczkowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.6 | 9.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Sheldon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Jeffrey Fradkin M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Teodor Davidov M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Colson Wells UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Cyrus Mahjoob UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Henry Lamchinniah UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Andrew Gordon UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/08 | Evan Lee UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Olaf Pieczkowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Fredrik Krogh Solheim M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 23/09 | Zsombor Velcz M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Dan Brand M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Garrett Johns Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/05 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Andrew Fenty M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 20/03 | Branko Djuric M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Sheldon vs Olaf Pieczkowski?
Our model gives 52% to Olaf Pieczkowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.