Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 01/10, 10:30
Prediction: Matteo Fondriest vs Romain Faucon
Team pages: Matteo Fondriest · Romain Faucon
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Fondriest
Romain Faucon
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Fondriest
3-7 (W-L)
Romain Faucon
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Fondriest 1514 · Romain Faucon 1570
| Matteo Fondriest | Romain Faucon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Romain Faucon (rating 1514 vs 1570).
- Romain Faucon is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matteo Fondriest | Romain Faucon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.1 | 12.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Fondriest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Mustapha El Natour M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniil Piatrouski M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 21/09 | Filippo Crippa M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Giovanni Boi M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Oskar Grzegorzewski M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Romain Faucon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Samir Hamza Reguig M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 23/09 | Georgios Nouchakis M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Meerbusch |
1-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Amar Tahirovic M25 Meerbusch |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Niklas Waldner M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Ivan Zaytsev M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Jack Loge M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Fondriest vs Romain Faucon?
Our model gives 73% to Romain Faucon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.