Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 01/10, 09:00
Prediction: Sofia Avataneo vs Daria Zelinskaya
Team pages: Sofia Avataneo · Daria Zelinskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Avataneo
Daria Zelinskaya
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Avataneo
3-7 (W-L)
Daria Zelinskaya
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Avataneo 1433 · Daria Zelinskaya 1481
| Sofia Avataneo | Daria Zelinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Zelinskaya (rating 1433 vs 1481).
Statistics
| Sofia Avataneo | Daria Zelinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.9-10.6 | 8.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 49% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Avataneo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Vanesa Salaiova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 01/09 | Prathyusha Rachapudi W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Iveta Dapkute W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Valentina Losciale W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Justine Bretnacher W75 Cordenons |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Maria De La Paz Alberto W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
Daria Zelinskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Esther Adeshina W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Eunchae Kim W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Arina Arifullina W15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Xi Luo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Avataneo vs Daria Zelinskaya?
Our model gives 74% to Daria Zelinskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.