Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 01/10, 10:30
Prediction: Paul Jubb vs Zangar Nurlanuly
Team pages: Paul Jubb · Zangar Nurlanuly
Prediction summary
Winner
Paul Jubb
Zangar Nurlanuly
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Paul Jubb
9-1 (W-L)
Zangar Nurlanuly
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paul Jubb 1566 · Zangar Nurlanuly 1498
| Paul Jubb | Zangar Nurlanuly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Jubb (rating 1566 vs 1498).
- Paul Jubb is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Zangar Nurlanuly makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Paul Jubb | Zangar Nurlanuly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-6.9 | 10.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paul Jubb
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/09 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Marwan Ehab M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Tomas Lanik M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Charles Bertimon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 17/09 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Sergey Petrov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-9 | W |
Zangar Nurlanuly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Aaron Gabet M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Dan Brand M15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Yerassyl Yerdilda M15 Astana |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/11 | Artur Kukasian M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/11 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paul Jubb vs Zangar Nurlanuly?
Our model gives 77% to Paul Jubb, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.