Tennis · Challenger Bari · 02/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko
Team pages: Gianluca Cadenasso · Vitaliy Sachko
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso
Vitaliy Sachko
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gianluca Cadenasso
6-4 (W-L)
Vitaliy Sachko
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianluca Cadenasso 1487 · Vitaliy Sachko 1562
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitaliy Sachko (rating 1487 vs 1562).
- Gianluca Cadenasso dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 41.3% break avg.
- Vitaliy Sachko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.9 | 12.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianluca Cadenasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Liam Broady French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 02/05 | Matteo Arnaldi Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Gauthier Onclin US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko?
Our model gives 57% to Vitaliy Sachko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.