Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 01/10, 08:00
Prediction: Sandra Samir vs Jade Groen
Team pages: Sandra Samir · Jade Groen
Prediction summary
Winner
Sandra Samir
Jade Groen
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sandra Samir
4-6 (W-L)
Jade Groen
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandra Samir 1488 · Jade Groen 1589
| Sandra Samir | Jade Groen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jade Groen (rating 1488 vs 1589).
- Jade Groen is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Sandra Samir makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Jade Groen makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Sandra Samir | Jade Groen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-12 | 12.4-8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 54.3% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 66% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandra Samir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Anastasia Lizunova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Leonie Rabl W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Polina Leykina W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Bydgoszcz |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Jule Niemeier W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Dayeon Back W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Jade Groen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Leonie Rabl W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Valeriia Derevyankina W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Annemarie Lazar UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 17/09 | Emmy Mueller UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Lea Fojcik UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Diana Marcinkevica UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Julia Victoria Rennert UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Lisa Claeys W15 Haren |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Mirjana Jovanovic W15 Haren |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandra Samir vs Jade Groen?
Our model gives 50% to Sandra Samir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.