Tennis · M25 Slobozia · 01/10, 09:00

Prediction: Petros Tsitsipas vs Sebastian Gima

Team pages: Petros Tsitsipas · Sebastian Gima

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Petros Tsitsipas Sebastian Gima
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Petros Tsitsipas 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLLWWLW
Sebastian Gima 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petros Tsitsipas 1454 · Sebastian Gima 1523
Petros TsitsipasSebastian Gima
Our model40%60%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Gima (rating 1454 vs 1523).
  • Sebastian Gima is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Petros TsitsipasSebastian Gima
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (3) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.3-1
Games (G-P)10.3-12.510.8-9.6
Aces5.91.1
Double faults52.6
1st serve %70.6%69.8%
Break %33.5%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Petros Tsitsipas

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Louis Wessels
M25 Slobozia
2-0 13-10 W
25/09 Jiri Cizek
M25 Pardubice
1-2 15-17 L
23/09 Oleksii Krutykh
M25 Pardubice
2-0 13-10 W
08/09 Maxence Rivet
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
02/09 Arthur Nagel
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/08 Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 Tommaso Compagnucci
M25 Ollersbach
1-2 12-16 L
16/07 Theo Papamalamis
M25 Kramsach
0-2 6-13 L
14/07 Maurice-Noel Kaserer
M25 Kramsach
2-0 12-7 W
10/07 Vladyslav Orlov
M15 Lodz
0-2 6-12 L

Sebastian Gima

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Sebastian Dominko
M25 Slobozia
2-0 12-8 W
22/09 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
21/09 Filip Misolic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
20/09 Aleksandar Tolev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/09 Kristijan Juhas
M25 Zlatibor
0-2 5-12 L
18/09 Denis Klok
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 12-8 W
17/09 Jovan Bjelobrk
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 12-7 W
02/09 Tudor Batin
M15 Buzau
0-2 7-12 L
01/09 Vlad Cristian Breazu
M15 Buzau
2-0 13-5 W
28/08 Anas Mazdrashki
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petros Tsitsipas vs Sebastian Gima?

Our model gives 67% to Sebastian Gima, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.