Tennis · ATP Beijing MD · 02/10, 05:00
Prediction: Doumbia/Reboul vs Gonzalez/Molteni
Team pages: Doumbia/Reboul · Gonzalez/Molteni
Prediction summary
Winner
Doumbia/Reboul
Gonzalez/Molteni
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Doumbia/Reboul
6-4 (W-L)
Gonzalez/Molteni
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Doumbia/Reboul
1–3
Gonzalez/Molteni
(4 last)
- 12 Feb0-2 5-12L
- 08 Aug2-0 13-8W
- 12 Feb0-2 8-12L
- 16 Sept1-2 15-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Doumbia/Reboul 1507 · Gonzalez/Molteni 1527
| Doumbia/Reboul | Gonzalez/Molteni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Doumbia/Reboul 1–3 Gonzalez/Molteni (4).
Statistics
| Doumbia/Reboul | Gonzalez/Molteni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.1-14.7 | 12.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 76% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 29.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
H2H · Doumbia/Reboul 1 – 3 Gonzalez/Molteni (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Doumbia/Reboul 1–3 Gonzalez/Molteni
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/24 ATP Cordoba MD | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08/23 ATP Toronto MD | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/02/23 ATP Cordoba MD | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09/21 Challenger Szczecin MD | 1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Doumbia/Reboul
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Johnson/Zielinski ATP Chengdu MD · Hard |
1-2 | 13-20 | L |
| 07/09 | Schnaitter/Wallner US Open MD · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 05/09 | Stevenson/Willis US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/08 | Ram/Salisbury ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
1-2 | 21-22 | L |
| 20/08 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Buse/Cobolli ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 29/07 | Romboli/Smith ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Arribage/Cabral ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Rojer/Winegar ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-20 | W |
Gonzalez/Molteni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Gille/Verbeek ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Cui/Te ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Gonzalez/Jebens ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Granollers/Zeballos US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nouza/Oberleitner US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Frantzen/Haase US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 10/05 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Rome MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Goransson/King ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Cabral/Salisbury ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Doumbia/Reboul vs Gonzalez/Molteni?
Our model gives 56% to Doumbia/Reboul, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.