Tennis · M15 Ann Arbor · 30/09, 19:30
Prediction: Alexander Bernard vs Gustavo Albieri
Team pages: Alexander Bernard · Gustavo Albieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Bernard
Gustavo Albieri
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Bernard
8-2 (W-L)
Gustavo Albieri
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Bernard 1566 · Gustavo Albieri 1450
| Alexander Bernard | Gustavo Albieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Bernard (rating 1566 vs 1450).
- Alexander Bernard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Gustavo Albieri makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Bernard | Gustavo Albieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-7.7 | 6.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Bernard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Matisse Farzam M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Max Stenzer M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Jakub Kroslak UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Salvador Price UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Elie Elie Azoulay UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Mattia Akcan UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Felix Felsmann UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Michael Antonius M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Gustavo Albieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Sao Paulo |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Rafael Tosetto M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mateo Del Pino M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Luka Bojicic Ono M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Felipe Garla M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Itajai · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Jefferson Wendler Filho ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Guilherme B Renner ITF M25 Lajeado · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Bernard vs Gustavo Albieri?
Our model gives 75% to Alexander Bernard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.