Tennis · M15 Sibenik · 01/10, 10:00
Prediction: Noah Lopez vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Team pages: Noah Lopez · Daniele Rapagnetta
Prediction summary
Winner
Noah Lopez
Daniele Rapagnetta
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Lopez
6-4 (W-L)
Daniele Rapagnetta
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noah Lopez 1499 · Daniele Rapagnetta 1566
| Noah Lopez | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniele Rapagnetta (rating 1499 vs 1566).
- Daniele Rapagnetta is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Noah Lopez | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.6 | 10.7-7.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 43% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noah Lopez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Bozo Barun M15 Sibenik |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 28/09 | Mikhail Tsapenko M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/09 | Nicolas Ifi UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Sebastian Prechtel UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Tim Hammes UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Jose Murariu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Cedric Stanke UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Jaron Held M15 Allershausen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Michael Savano M15 Sibenik |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 25/09 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Garrett Johns M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Niccolo Catini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Pietro Marino M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Maximilian Figl M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexander Petrov M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noah Lopez vs Daniele Rapagnetta?
Our model gives 70% to Daniele Rapagnetta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.