Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 30/09, 11:30
Prediction: Jade Groen vs Leonie Rabl
Team pages: Jade Groen · Leonie Rabl
Prediction summary
Winner
Jade Groen
Leonie Rabl
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jade Groen
8-2 (W-L)
Leonie Rabl
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jade Groen 1568 · Leonie Rabl 1469
| Jade Groen | Leonie Rabl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jade Groen (rating 1568 vs 1469).
- Jade Groen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Jade Groen makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Jade Groen | Leonie Rabl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.7 | 10.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 70.3% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jade Groen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Valeriia Derevyankina W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Annemarie Lazar UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 17/09 | Emmy Mueller UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Lea Fojcik UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Diana Marcinkevica UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Julia Victoria Rennert UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Lisa Claeys W15 Haren |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Mirjana Jovanovic W15 Haren |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Enola Chiesa W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Leonie Rabl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Sandra Samir W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Nina Rudiukova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 13/08 | Zeel Desai W15 Astana |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Selina Atay W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Satima Toregen W15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-9 | L |
| 29/07 | Aiya Nupbay W15 Astana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Sofiya Malysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Albina Kakenova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Stefania Bojica W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jade Groen vs Leonie Rabl?
Our model gives 70% to Jade Groen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.