Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 30/09, 10:00
Prediction: Sandra Samir vs Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Team pages: Sandra Samir · Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Sandra Samir
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Sandra Samir
3-7 (W-L)
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandra Samir 1432 · Liel Marlies Rothensteiner 1489
| Sandra Samir | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liel Marlies Rothensteiner (rating 1432 vs 1489).
- Liel Marlies Rothensteiner is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Sandra Samir makes many double faults (6.4/match).
- Note: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Sandra Samir | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-11.8 | 10.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 52.9% | 64% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandra Samir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Anastasia Lizunova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Leonie Rabl W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Polina Leykina W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Bydgoszcz |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Jule Niemeier W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Dayeon Back W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Mara Guth W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Leonie Rabl W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Nelli Ivanova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Polina Sleptsova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandra Samir vs Liel Marlies Rothensteiner?
Our model gives 61% to Sandra Samir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.