Tennis · M15 Monastir · 30/09, 10:30
Prediction: Renaud Lefevre vs Jack Loge
Team pages: Renaud Lefevre · Jack Loge
Prediction summary
Winner
Renaud Lefevre
Jack Loge
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Renaud Lefevre
4-6 (W-L)
Jack Loge
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renaud Lefevre 1465 · Jack Loge 1566
| Renaud Lefevre | Jack Loge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Loge (rating 1465 vs 1566).
- Jack Loge is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Renaud Lefevre makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Renaud Lefevre | Jack Loge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.9 | 13.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renaud Lefevre
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Sven Corbinais M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Chetanna Amadike M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-8 | L |
| 19/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Simone Massucco M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Omar Kandil M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Alexander Park UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/01 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Jack Loge
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Max Houkes M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Reda El Aouni M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Andrea M'chich M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Romain Faucon M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/08 | Marlon Vankan M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renaud Lefevre vs Jack Loge?
Our model gives 79% to Jack Loge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.