Tennis · M15 Monastir · 30/09, 10:30
Prediction: Victor Ryden vs Aziz Ouakaa
Team pages: Victor Ryden · Aziz Ouakaa
Prediction summary
Winner
Victor Ryden
Aziz Ouakaa
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Victor Ryden
5-5 (W-L)
Aziz Ouakaa
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victor Ryden 1524 · Aziz Ouakaa 1447
| Victor Ryden | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victor Ryden (rating 1524 vs 1447).
- Victor Ryden is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Victor Ryden makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Victor Ryden | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.5 | 7.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victor Ryden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Daniel Domingos M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 20/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Karl Friberg M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Henry Lieberman M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Oskar Grzegorzewski M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 10/08 | Marcus Bergelin M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Marko Milosavljevic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Aziz Ouakaa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 09/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Bora Sengul M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victor Ryden vs Aziz Ouakaa?
Our model gives 64% to Aziz Ouakaa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.