Tennis · M25 Zaragoza · 30/09, 10:00

Prediction: Jaume Casas Blasi vs Lorenzo Carboni

Team pages: Lorenzo Carboni

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Jaume Casas Blasi Lorenzo Carboni
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jaume Casas Blasi 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWWWWWL
Lorenzo Carboni 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jaume Casas Blasi 1482 · Lorenzo Carboni 1489
Jaume Casas BlasiLorenzo Carboni
Our model49%51%
Market9%91%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jaume Casas BlasiLorenzo Carboni
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.1-1
Games (G-P)9.3-10.49-9.3
Aces1.11
Double faults2.91.7
1st serve %60.4%58.2%
Break %44%59%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jaume Casas Blasi

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Xavi Palomar
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
27/08 Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Cap d'Agde
1-2 12-18 L
26/08 Victor Barreira Bonzom
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 12-5 W
24/08 Arturs Zagars
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 13-10 W
23/08 Alex Cracana Cracana
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 12-2 W
04/08 Sergio Callejon Hernando
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
1-2 13-19 L
03/08 Maximo Nagele
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
06/07 Aren Baybars
M25 Roda de Bara
1-2 9-12 L
12/05 Ivan Ivanov
M25 Vic
0-2 4-12 L
04/03 Johan Oscar Lien
M15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Lorenzo Carboni

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Daniel Michalski
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/09 Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/09 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
15/09 Matteo Sciahbasi
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
06/09 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Seville · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/08 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Lausanne
0-2 5-12 L
28/08 Noah Karma
M25 Lausanne
2-0 12-4 W
27/08 Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne
2-0 12-3 W
25/08 Arthur Bellegy
M25 Lausanne
2-0 13-7 W
11/08 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Todi · Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jaume Casas Blasi vs Lorenzo Carboni?

Our model gives 73% to Lorenzo Carboni, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.