Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 30/09, 13:30
Prediction: Luke Hooper vs Jan Simonsson
Team pages: Luke Hooper · Jan Simonsson
Prediction summary
Winner
Luke Hooper
Jan Simonsson
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luke Hooper
2-8 (W-L)
Jan Simonsson
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luke Hooper 1441 · Jan Simonsson 1530
| Luke Hooper | Jan Simonsson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Simonsson (rating 1441 vs 1530).
- Jan Simonsson is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Luke Hooper makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Luke Hooper | Jan Simonsson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-10.8 | 12.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luke Hooper
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Robin Eldin M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Gabriel Gomez M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Amr Asrawy M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Mark Ceban M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Rafe Samuel M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mark Ceban M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Peter Sychev M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/06 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Jan Simonsson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Alberto Garcia Garcia M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Falun |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/08 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Jack Karlsson Winstrand M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/05 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luke Hooper vs Jan Simonsson?
Our model gives 59% to Jan Simonsson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.