Tennis · W35 Baza · 30/09, 10:00

Prediction: Carlotta Moccia vs Radka Zelnickova

Team pages: Carlotta Moccia · Radka Zelnickova

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Carlotta Moccia Radka Zelnickova
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Carlotta Moccia 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLLWLWW
Radka Zelnickova 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlotta Moccia 1507 · Radka Zelnickova 1500
Carlotta MocciaRadka Zelnickova
Our model51%49%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Carlotta Moccia makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Carlotta MocciaRadka Zelnickova
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay – 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.1-1.2
Games (G-P)8.5-10.110.4-9.7
Aces0.72.2
Double faults4.13.4
1st serve %54.1%60.6%
Break %40.2%44.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlotta Moccia

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Carolina Gomez
W35 Baza
2-1 9-7 W
27/09 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W35 Baza
2-0 12-8 W
02/09 Daniela Vismane
W15 Fiano Romano
0-2 9-13 L
31/08 Nicole Andrea Molaro
W15 Fiano Romano
2-0 13-9 W
24/08 Paula Ormaechea
W35 Trieste
0-2 2-12 L
22/07 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Gran Canaria
0-2 7-12 L
15/07 Luca Udvardy
W15 Krsko
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Isabelle Cherny
W15 Krsko
2-1 11-11 W
21/05 Anastasia Bertacchi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
20/05 Lourdes Ayala
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Radka Zelnickova

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Mona Barthel
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/09 Kaja Najzer
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
07/09 Zhibek Kulambayeva
WTA Antalya · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
24/08 Federica Sacco
W35 Trieste
1-2 15-13 L
21/08 Ariana Geerlings
W35 Krakow
0-2 1-12 L
20/08 Polina Leykina
W35 Krakow
2-0 9-1 W
19/08 Amelia Paszun
W35 Krakow
2-1 17-12 W
18/08 Barbara Straszewska
W35 Krakow
2-1 15-7 W
13/08 Amy Sucha
W35 Bydgoszcz
0-2 10-13 L
12/08 Adrienn Nagy
W35 Bydgoszcz
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlotta Moccia vs Radka Zelnickova?

Our model gives 65% to Radka Zelnickova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.