Tennis · W35 Baza · 30/09, 10:00

Prediction: Arina Arifullina vs Amandine Hesse

Team pages: Arina Arifullina · Amandine Hesse

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Arina Arifullina Amandine Hesse
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Arifullina 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLLW
Amandine Hesse 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arina Arifullina 1529 · Amandine Hesse 1482
Arina ArifullinaAmandine Hesse
Our model57%43%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Arifullina (rating 1529 vs 1482).
  • Arina Arifullina is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Arina ArifullinaAmandine Hesse
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay – 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.80.7-1.5
Games (G-P)9.9-7.59.7-11.1
Aces22.1
Double faults3.23.4
1st serve %56.7%60.4%
Break %43.7%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arina Arifullina

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Min Liu
W35 Baza
2-0 13-8 W
23/09 Kseniia Ruchkina
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-1 0-6 L
14/08 Irem Kurt
W15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
13/08 Ekaterina Kuznetsova
W15 Astana
2-1 16-9 W
11/08 Satima Toregen
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
08/08 Su Jeong Jang
W15 Astana
0-2 7-12 L
07/08 Ha Eum Lee
W15 Astana
2-0 13-7 W
04/08 Daria Zelinskaya
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
12/07 Ying Zhang
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/06 Karla Bartel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Amandine Hesse

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Margaux Rouvroy
W50 Yecla
0-2 5-12 L
16/09 Carson Tanguilig
W75 Le Neubourg
0-2 9-13 L
11/09 Ariana Geerlings
W35 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/09 Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-1 15-12 W
09/09 Beatrise Zeltina
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Anastasia Zolotareva
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
1-2 16-18 L
25/08 Haruka Kaji
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/08 Ksenia Zaytseva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
10/08 Luna Vujovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
09/08 Milica Stosovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arina Arifullina vs Amandine Hesse?

Our model gives 63% to Amandine Hesse, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.