Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 30/09, 05:00
Prediction: Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane
Team pages: Elias Ymer · Terence Atmane
Prediction summary
Winner
Elias Ymer
Terence Atmane
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elias Ymer
4-6 (W-L)
Terence Atmane
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elias Ymer 1474 · Terence Atmane 1506
| Elias Ymer | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Elias Ymer dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Terence Atmane dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 48.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Elias Ymer | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.1 | 13.5-12.8 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elias Ymer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Cristian Garin US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Franco Roncadelli US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Terence Atmane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-29 | L |
| 18/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Karen Khachanov ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Jack Draper ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane?
Our model gives 67% to Terence Atmane, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.