Tennis · W35 Reims · 29/09, 14:30

Prediction: Manon Leonard vs Liv Boulard

Team pages: Manon Leonard · Liv Boulard

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Manon Leonard Liv Boulard
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Manon Leonard 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWWL
Liv Boulard 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manon Leonard 1507 · Liv Boulard 1465
Manon LeonardLiv Boulard
Our model56%44%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manon Leonard (rating 1507 vs 1465).
  • Note: Liv Boulard makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Manon LeonardLiv Boulard
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) –
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.9-1.5
Games (G-P)9.9-9.510.4-12.3
Aces1.32.8
Double faults1.65
1st serve %56.7%61.7%
Break %47.9%42.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manon Leonard

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Fiona Crawley
W75 Le Neubourg
0-2 3-8 L
18/09 Martyna Kubka
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-6 W
17/09 Lucie Nguyen Tan
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-3 W
15/09 Laura Hietaranta
W75 Le Neubourg
2-1 17-8 W
16/07 Hannah Klugman
W50 Nottingham
1-2 16-17 L
15/07 Amelie Brooks
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Sabine Rutlauka
W50 Nottingham
2-1 14-10 W
07/07 Veronika Podrez
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 9-13 L
30/06 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/06 Alina Charaeva
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 0-12 L

Liv Boulard

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Diana Martynov
W75 Le Neubourg
0-2 7-13 L
31/08 Mathilde Lollia
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 8-12 L
30/08 Georgina Hays
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 13-6 W
27/08 Valentina Ryser
W35 Verbier
0-2 5-12 L
25/08 Cristina Pescucci
W35 Verbier
2-1 17-13 W
26/07 Isabella Maria Serban
W100 Gran Canaria
1-2 10-16 L
23/07 Emma Lene
W15 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-12 L
22/07 Kiara Nina Kucikova
W15 Gran Canaria
2-1 18-12 W
16/07 Justina Mikulskyte
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Gina Marie Dittmann
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-1 16-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manon Leonard vs Liv Boulard?

Our model gives 73% to Manon Leonard, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.