Tennis · M15 Ann Arbor · 30/09, 16:00
Prediction: Oliver Bonding vs Matthew Thomson
Team pages: Oliver Bonding · Matthew Thomson
Prediction summary
Winner
Oliver Bonding
Matthew Thomson
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oliver Bonding
7-3 (W-L)
Matthew Thomson
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliver Bonding 1562 · Matthew Thomson 1575
| Oliver Bonding | Matthew Thomson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matthew Thomson dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 45.7% break avg.
- Note: Matthew Thomson makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Oliver Bonding | Matthew Thomson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.2 | 15.1-13.1 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliver Bonding
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Columbia |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/09 | Gabe Avram M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Charlie Swaine M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Novak Novakovic M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/09 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/08 | John Echeverria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Matthew Thomson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Novak Novakovic M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Elijah Strode M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Matt Kuhar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Joshua Peck M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 23/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliver Bonding vs Matthew Thomson?
Our model gives 68% to Oliver Bonding, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.