Tennis · M15 Ann Arbor · 29/09, 17:30
Prediction: Matisse Farzam vs Alexander Bernard
Team pages: Matisse Farzam · Alexander Bernard
Prediction summary
Winner
Matisse Farzam
Alexander Bernard
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matisse Farzam
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Bernard
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matisse Farzam 1475 · Alexander Bernard 1564
| Matisse Farzam | Alexander Bernard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Bernard (rating 1475 vs 1564).
- Alexander Bernard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matisse Farzam | Alexander Bernard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.9 | 10.4-8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matisse Farzam
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Felix Corwin M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Mikael Arseneault M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 25/08 | Rishvanth Krishna M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Markus Molder M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Cian Maguire M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 05/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jonah Braswell M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alexander Bernard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Max Stenzer M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Jakub Kroslak UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Salvador Price UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Elie Elie Azoulay UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Mattia Akcan UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Felix Felsmann UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Michael Antonius M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ilija Palavestra M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matisse Farzam vs Alexander Bernard?
Our model gives 56% to Alexander Bernard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.