Tennis · M15 Ann Arbor · 29/09, 19:30

Prediction: Zsombor Velcz vs Matt Kuhar

Team pages: Zsombor Velcz · Matt Kuhar

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Zsombor Velcz Matt Kuhar
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zsombor Velcz 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLLL
Matt Kuhar 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zsombor Velcz 1545 · Matt Kuhar 1462
Zsombor VelczMatt Kuhar
Our model62%38%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zsombor Velcz (rating 1545 vs 1462).
  • Zsombor Velcz is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Matt Kuhar makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Zsombor VelczMatt Kuhar
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 75% (8) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91-1.4
Games (G-P)10.9-9.311.1-12.4
Aces4.12.7
Double faults3.65.9
1st serve %70.4%63.7%
Break %38.4%43.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zsombor Velcz

WWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Olaf Pieczkowski
M15 Columbia
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Zachary Viiala
M15 Champaign
0-2 9-13 L
19/07 Orel Kimhi
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/07 Jordan Hasson
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
17/07 Charlie Robertson
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/07 Filip Peliwo
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
10/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
09/07 Jordan Hasson
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Romain Faucon
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W

Matt Kuhar

WLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
23/08 Siddhant Banthia
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/08 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
31/07 Matthew Thomson
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 15-16 L
30/07 Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
29/07 Jesse Ruder-Hook
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/07 Roger Pascual Ferra
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Karl Poling
Challenger Granby · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
24/06 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
18/06 Neo Niedner
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zsombor Velcz vs Matt Kuhar?

Our model gives 68% to Zsombor Velcz, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.