Tennis · W100 Templeton · 30/09, 19:00
Prediction: Anna Rogers vs Francesca Pace
Team pages: Anna Rogers · Francesca Pace
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Rogers
Francesca Pace
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Rogers
5-5 (W-L)
Francesca Pace
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Rogers 1527 · Francesca Pace 1534
| Anna Rogers | Francesca Pace | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Anna Rogers | Francesca Pace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.1 | 11.3-10 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Rogers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Kayla Day W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Yara Bartashevich W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Maria Sholokhova W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Hiroko Kuwata W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/08 | Capucine Jauffret W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Mary Stoiana W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jenna Defalco W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Alice Tubello W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Sada Nahimana W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Rogers vs Francesca Pace?
Our model gives 51% to Francesca Pace, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.