Tennis · UTR Pro Ithaca Women · 30/09, 21:00

Prediction: Emma Scaldalai vs Laurie Barendse

Team pages: Emma Scaldalai · Laurie Barendse

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Emma Scaldalai Laurie Barendse
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Scaldalai 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWLL
Laurie Barendse 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emma Scaldalai 1438 · Laurie Barendse 1523
Emma ScaldalaiLaurie Barendse
Our model38%62%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurie Barendse (rating 1438 vs 1523).
  • Laurie Barendse is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Laurie Barendse makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Emma ScaldalaiLaurie Barendse
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (4) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.61.3-0.9
Games (G-P)7.1-11.410.4-10
Aces10.6
Double faults3.35.8
1st serve %52.5%56%
Break %20.3%55.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emma Scaldalai

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Victoria Zhao
UTR Pro Ithaca Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/09 Tanika Saravanan
UTR Pro Ithaca Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/08 Mia Keuler
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
15/08 Maria Tkalenko
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
14/08 Diana Marcinkevica
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
13/08 Nika Beukers
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 14-8 W
12/08 Natalia Siedliska
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
11/08 Chloe Lomans
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
30/11 Carlotta Moccia
ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
18/11 Linea Bajraliu
ITF W15 Lousada · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Laurie Barendse

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Tanika Saravanan
UTR Pro Ithaca Women · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/09 Mary Boyce Deatherage
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/09 June Bjork
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/09 Abby Kelliher
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/09 Frankee Hendricks
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
07/09 Emi Dowdell
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
16/08 Vicky Van De Peer
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
15/08 Cara Korhonen
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 13-16 W
14/08 Nina Kruijer
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
13/08 Leandra Nizetic
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emma Scaldalai vs Laurie Barendse?

Our model gives 73% to Laurie Barendse, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.