Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 30/09, 11:00

Prediction: Kira Pavlova vs Alicia Dudeney

Team pages: Kira Pavlova · Alicia Dudeney

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Kira Pavlova Alicia Dudeney
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kira Pavlova 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWWL
Alicia Dudeney 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kira Pavlova 1555 · Alicia Dudeney 1564
Kira PavlovaAlicia Dudeney
Our model49%51%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (5.4/match).
  • Note: Alicia Dudeney makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Kira PavlovaAlicia Dudeney
Win %70%80%
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.6-0.6
Games (G-P)11.8-8.712.5-8.8
Aces0.82.2
Double faults5.45.9
1st serve %66.4%73%
Break %53.8%45.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kira Pavlova

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/09 Angela Fita Boluda
W50 Yecla
0-2 9-13 L
24/09 Elza Tomase
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-3 W
23/09 Lucia Cortez Llorca
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-8 W
13/08 Yasmine Kabbaj
W35 Vigo
2-1 17-14 W
11/08 Charo Esquiva Banuls
W35 Vigo
2-0 12-3 W
07/08 Britt Du Pree
W75 Ourense
0-2 5-12 L
06/08 Francisca Jorge
W75 Ourense
2-0 13-8 W
04/08 Eva Alvarez Sande
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-2 W
18/07 Martyna Kubka
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 14-16 L
17/07 Katarina Kuzmova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-8 W

Alicia Dudeney

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W75 Ourense
0-1 5-7 L
06/08 Camilla Zanolini
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-3 W
05/08 Ekaterina Yashina
W75 Ourense
2-1 16-12 W
30/07 Amelia Rajecki
W50 Dublin
0-2 10-13 L
29/07 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W50 Dublin
2-1 16-15 W
18/07 Naiktha Bains
W50 Nottingham
2-0 13-9 W
17/07 Hannah Klugman
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-7 W
16/07 Victoria Allen
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Clara Vlasselaer
W50 Nottingham
2-1 17-12 W
14/07 Tegan Bush
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kira Pavlova vs Alicia Dudeney?

Our model gives 59% to Alicia Dudeney, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.