Tennis · M15 Monastir · 30/09, 10:30

Prediction: Liam Branger vs Rocco Piatti

Team pages: Liam Branger · Rocco Piatti

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Liam Branger Rocco Piatti
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Branger 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWLW
Rocco Piatti 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liam Branger 1535 · Rocco Piatti 1461
Liam BrangerRocco Piatti
Our model60%40%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Branger (rating 1535 vs 1461).
  • Liam Branger is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Rocco Piatti makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Liam BrangerRocco Piatti
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-10.8-1.5
Games (G-P)12-11.59.7-12.1
Aces4.23.1
Double faults2.74.2
1st serve %69.3%62.9%
Break %36.2%39.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liam Branger

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/09 Etienne Donnet
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 16-18 L
24/09 Peter Makk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
23/09 Kristijonas Milasauskas
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/09 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Nevers
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Raphael Perot
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-2 9-16 L
02/09 Yannis Batsabaken
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-9 W
31/08 Martin Simon
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-7 W
30/08 Marc Vives Martinez
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 3-12 L
26/08 Timeo Trufelli
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 19-14 W

Rocco Piatti

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Champaign
0-2 8-13 L
19/08 Tiago Silva
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 13-17 L
13/08 Robin Bertrand
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 8-15 L
12/08 Diogo Morais
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 15-14 W
05/08 Oscar Brown
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Kriish Tyagi
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
03/07 Henry Jefferson
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
01/07 Dehan Van Deventer
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/06 Roger Pascual Ferra
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
17/06 Diego Fernandez Flores
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liam Branger vs Rocco Piatti?

Our model gives 67% to Liam Branger, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.