Tennis · M25 Slobozia · 30/09, 09:00
Prediction: Valentin Vanta vs Lukas Pokorny
Team pages: Valentin Vanta · Lukas Pokorny
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Vanta
Lukas Pokorny
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Vanta
4-6 (W-L)
Lukas Pokorny
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Vanta 1469 · Lukas Pokorny 1515
| Valentin Vanta | Lukas Pokorny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lukas Pokorny (rating 1469 vs 1515).
Statistics
| Valentin Vanta | Lukas Pokorny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-9.2 | 11.4-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 53.9% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Vanta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Rares Andrei Golescu M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Buzau |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Lucian Stefan Andrei M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-9 | L |
| 25/08 | Luca Giordano M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Arad |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Trisztan Gubi M15 Arad |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 14/07 | David Cristian Carteputreda M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 08/07 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Lukas Pokorny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Dominik Recek M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Vanta vs Lukas Pokorny?
Our model gives 70% to Lukas Pokorny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.