Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 30/09, 09:00
Prediction: Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka vs Gawad El Feky
Team pages: Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
Prediction summary
Winner
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
Gawad El Feky
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
6-4 (W-L)
Gawad El Feky
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka 1508 · Gawad El Feky 1476
| Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | Gawad El Feky | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | Gawad El Feky | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.9 | 9.2-9 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 66% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrea Baudel M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/08 | Peter Makk M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Valentin Faure M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Nik Mikovic M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Oriol Font M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Gawad El Feky
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Niklas Waldner M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 21/09 | Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Cristian Campese M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Jake Fellows M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 30/06 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 15/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Vesa Ahti M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka vs Gawad El Feky?
Our model gives 58% to Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.