Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 30/09, 09:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Amr Asrawy
Team pages: Lorenzo Lorusso · Amr Asrawy
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Lorusso
Amr Asrawy
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Lorusso
6-4 (W-L)
Amr Asrawy
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Lorusso
1–0
Amr Asrawy
(1 last)
- 27 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Lorusso 1506 · Amr Asrawy 1449
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Amr Asrawy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Lorusso (rating 1506 vs 1449).
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Lorusso 1–0 Amr Asrawy (1).
- Note: Lorenzo Lorusso makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Amr Asrawy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12 | 9-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 20.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Lorenzo Lorusso 1 – 0 Amr Asrawy (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Lorusso 1–0 Amr Asrawy
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/26 M15 Hurghada | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Lorusso
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Niklas Waldner M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Omar Kandil M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Amr Asrawy M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mousa Alkotop M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Conor Gannon M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Amr Asrawy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Chirag Duhan M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Luke Hooper M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/05 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Kris Van Wyk M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Thomas Fancutt M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Lorusso vs Amr Asrawy?
Our model gives 60% to Amr Asrawy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.