Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 29/09, 10:30
Prediction: Matteo Fondriest vs Mustapha El Natour
Team pages: Matteo Fondriest · Mustapha El Natour
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Fondriest
Mustapha El Natour
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Fondriest
3-7 (W-L)
Mustapha El Natour
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Fondriest 1470 · Mustapha El Natour 1442
| Matteo Fondriest | Mustapha El Natour | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mustapha El Natour makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Fondriest | Mustapha El Natour | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.4 | 6.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Fondriest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniil Piatrouski M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 21/09 | Filippo Crippa M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Giovanni Boi M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Oskar Grzegorzewski M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Mustapha El Natour
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Makar Elesin M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Martins Rocens M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 12/05 | Aleksandar Mihailovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 21/04 | Rocco Valente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 15/04 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 07/04 | Keshav Chopra M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Fondriest vs Mustapha El Natour?
Our model gives 68% to Matteo Fondriest, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.