Tennis · M25 Zaragoza · 29/09, 11:00
Prediction: Ioannis Xilas vs Lorenzo Carboni
Team pages: Ioannis Xilas · Lorenzo Carboni
Prediction summary
Winner
Ioannis Xilas
Lorenzo Carboni
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ioannis Xilas
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Carboni
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ioannis Xilas
0–1
Lorenzo Carboni
(1 last)
- 26 Jul1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ioannis Xilas 1534 · Lorenzo Carboni 1478
| Ioannis Xilas | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ioannis Xilas (rating 1534 vs 1478).
- Head-to-head: Ioannis Xilas 0–1 Lorenzo Carboni (1).
- Note: Ioannis Xilas makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Ioannis Xilas | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 9-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Ioannis Xilas 0 – 1 Lorenzo Carboni (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ioannis Xilas 0–1 Lorenzo Carboni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/23 M15 Monastir | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ioannis Xilas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Sander Jong M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Loge M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Reda El Aouni M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lorenzo Carboni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Noah Karma M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Nicolas Ulrich M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ioannis Xilas vs Lorenzo Carboni?
Our model gives 54% to Ioannis Xilas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.