Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 30/09, 07:00
Prediction: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Yiru Chen
Team pages: Eva Marie Desvignes · Yiru Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Marie Desvignes
Yiru Chen
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Marie Desvignes
6-4 (W-L)
Yiru Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Marie Desvignes 1505 · Yiru Chen 1445
| Eva Marie Desvignes | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Marie Desvignes (rating 1505 vs 1445).
- Eva Marie Desvignes is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Eva Marie Desvignes | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.6-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.4 | 7.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 53.9% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Marie Desvignes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Hiromi Abe W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 21/08 | Sunam Jeong W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Yanan Hou W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Yui Chikaraishi W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Marianna Shikhanova W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Yiru Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Doga Turkmen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 02/09 | Emna Mathlouthi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Liana Cammilleri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Yu-Ning Tsai W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Marie Desvignes vs Yiru Chen?
Our model gives 70% to Eva Marie Desvignes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.