Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech
Team pages: Petra Marcinko · Magdalena Frech
Prediction summary
Winner
Petra Marcinko
Magdalena Frech
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Petra Marcinko
8-2 (W-L)
Magdalena Frech
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petra Marcinko 1454 · Magdalena Frech 1511
| Petra Marcinko | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magdalena Frech (rating 1454 vs 1511).
- Note: Petra Marcinko makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Petra Marcinko | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13.3 | 10.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petra Marcinko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Kimberly Birrell US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Simona Waltert WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Clara Burel WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Magdalena Frech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech?
Our model gives 64% to Magdalena Frech, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.