Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova
Team pages: Mayar Sherif · Polina Kudermetova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayar Sherif
Polina Kudermetova
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mayar Sherif
6-4 (W-L)
Polina Kudermetova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mayar Sherif
0–1
Polina Kudermetova
(1 last)
- 06 Apr0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayar Sherif 1562 · Polina Kudermetova 1492
| Mayar Sherif | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayar Sherif (rating 1562 vs 1492).
- Mayar Sherif is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mayar Sherif 0–1 Polina Kudermetova (1).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (8.8/match).
Statistics
| Mayar Sherif | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.9 | 12-13 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 8.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Mayar Sherif 0 – 1 Polina Kudermetova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mayar Sherif 0–1 Polina Kudermetova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 WTA Madrid | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayar Sherif
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Dalma Galfi WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Polina Kudermetova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Avery Alexander WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova?
Our model gives 52% to Polina Kudermetova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.