Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Eva Lys vs Xinran Sun
Team pages: Eva Lys · Xinran Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Lys
Xinran Sun
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Lys
4-6 (W-L)
Xinran Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Lys 1442 · Xinran Sun 1501
| Eva Lys | Xinran Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xinran Sun (rating 1442 vs 1501).
- Note: Eva Lys makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Eva Lys | Xinran Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12.2 | 8.7-8.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Lys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Gabriela Ce WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Diana Shnaider Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Xinran Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Luna Vujovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Nadja Mladenovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Anja Stankovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Mia Horvit W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Mariya Yemshanova W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Ella Seidel W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Lys vs Xinran Sun?
Our model gives 56% to Eva Lys, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.