Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 29/09, 06:30
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs Evan Zhu
Team pages: Aleksandar Vukic · Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
6-4 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aleksandar Vukic
1–0
Evan Zhu
(1 last)
- 24 Nov2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1498 · Evan Zhu 1586
| Aleksandar Vukic | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1498 vs 1586).
- Evan Zhu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Aleksandar Vukic 1–0 Evan Zhu (1).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14.1 | 12.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 70% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Aleksandar Vukic 1 – 0 Evan Zhu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aleksandar Vukic 1–0 Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/17 ITF USA F38 | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 20/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/08 | Darwin Blanch ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Evan Zhu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Zhiheng Xia Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Aleksi Lofman Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Arjun Kadhe Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 61% to Aleksandar Vukic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.